You have a million bucks and are 35 years old. What do you do?

[Son of Butch]

Unfortunately I once spent over 60 days flat on my back in bed, in a hospital, in a body cast
and didn't get a dime for it.
Honestly, each week felt more like a month long.

 

[1982vett]

Yes sir.
Gonzaga is now 265-1 when they lead by 10+ at halftime and Seattle is pounding the Red Sox in
their home opener. I was hoping they'd be drained traveling from Japan, but Oakland won too
so guess the trip to play Oakland in Japan didn't handicap either team.
Assuming a Red Sox loss... new balance $1,010,000

But... I did achieve the goal of rounding off the balance... lol...
The winning streak is over, so back to work to start a new one.

March 29
2,500 on Kentucky to beat Houston nets $1,590
MLB
2,500 on LA Dodgers to beat Az Diamondbacks also nets $1590

So Tech upset Gonzaga.....how did that work out?

 

[TennesseeTuxedo]

Yes sir.
Gonzaga is now 265-1 when they lead by 10+ at halftime and Seattle is pounding the Red Sox in
their home opener. I was hoping they'd be drained traveling from Japan, but Oakland won too
so guess the trip to play Oakland in Japan didn't handicap either team.
Assuming a Red Sox loss... new balance $1,010,000

But... I did achieve the goal of rounding off the balance... lol...
The winning streak is over, so back to work to start a new one.

March 29
2,500 on Kentucky to beat Houston nets $1,590
MLB
2,500 on LA Dodgers to beat Az Diamondbacks also nets $1590

So Tech upset Gonzaga.....how did that work out?

Really good for the Red Raiders.

 

[Son of Butch]

Yes sir.
Gonzaga is now 265-1 when they lead by 10+ at halftime and Seattle is pounding the Red Sox in
their home opener. I was hoping they'd be drained traveling from Japan, but Oakland won too
so guess the trip to play Oakland in Japan didn't handicap either team.
Assuming a Red Sox loss... new balance $1,010,000

But... I did achieve the goal of rounding off the balance... lol...
The winning streak is over, so back to work to start a new one.

March 29
2,500 on Kentucky to beat Houston nets $1,590
MLB
2,500 on LA Dodgers to beat Az Diamondbacks also nets $1590

So Tech upset Gonzaga.....how did that work out?

For me? A missed opportunity, as I had nothing invested in that game.

Only once in history (2008) have all 4 one seeds ever reached the final four.
3 times all 4 top seeds knocked out before making the final four... 2011, 2006, 1980.
In the last 33 years...
24% of the time (8 in 33) Championship game without a 1 seed.
61% (20 of 33) a one seed wins the tournament
39% of the time a non 1 seed wins the tournament
72% (13 of 18 games) the 1 seed beat a non-1 seed in the championship game.

I was busy with farm stuff the last 2 days and didn't look at the historical stats before today.
Which caused me to miss the smartest move... a group play of putting a big bet on each of the
underdogs to beat the 1 seeds Duke, Gonzaga, North Carolina and Virginia.
My bad for not putting in the time and missing a very good opportunity to exploit
still having all four #1 seeds in play.

 

[1982vett]

Hate it when work gets in the way of making money... :lol:

 

[Son of Butch]

Hate it when work gets in the way of making money... :lol:

LOL... yes I hate it when 4 letter words like work get in the way.
(I almost flagged your post for using such language)

So in the spirit of not learning.......... Today for personal reasons...
taking short end of the stick by picking against red hot Auburn.
2k on Kentucky to beat Auburn nets 980
(personal reasons/emotions can be the very worst reason to place a bet)

500 on Michigan state to upset Duke nets 600
another 1,000 on Michigan State as odds have moved and 1,000 now nets 1320

Confession: Short end of the stick is for suckers.
Personal reason... A crazed Kentucky Fan made me an offer to take Auburn that I couldn't refuse
and I'm emotionally attached to my real life money.

 

[Son of Butch]

IF going to get serious on betting, I need to sharpen my MLB picking.
Food for thought.
Rule of thumb: In 162 game season every team will win 60 games and lose 60 which leaves 42 games
that separates the men from the boys.

2018 exceptions: Boston only lost 54 games and Houston lost just 59 games
KC Royals only won 58 games and Baltimore only won 47

IF flat bet 1,000 on Red Sox to win each of the 162 games net loss for year was capped at $54,000
and offset by their 108 wins. 108,000 - 54,000 = 54,000 net profit
Problem: seldom get paid $1,000 per 1,000 risked on Boston bcs they are favored in most games.

2017 exception to 60 game guideline: LA Dodgers only lost 58 games (Cleveland lost 60 Houston 61)
SF Giants and Detroit were the 2 worst teams yet both won 64 games (39.5%) while losing 98 games.

2016 Chicago Cubs 58 losses, Mn Twins 59 wins
2015 no exceptions: St Louis Cards lost 60 and Phillies won 63 games

The best teams will win 97+ or 60%+ of their games and the worst will win 39.5% or less of their games.
Problem to solve:
Safest way to exploit 60/60 rule of thumb............

 

[Son of Butch]

Auburn vs Kentucky........ Overtime!
77-71 Auburn.... Bye-Bye Mild-Cats :banana:

Sweet.... Michigan State 68-67

Elite 8 games are coin flips and taking short end of the stick on them is a sucker bet.
Never bet the favorite in the elite 8 or final 4 the short money will kill ya in the long run.
Of course if someone is dumb enough to give you even money or better on the favorite, jump on it.

A 1, 2, 3 and 5 seed advanced to the Final 4 in Minneapolis next week. IF by chance any are coming
He//'s Kitchen in Minneapolis serves very good food and THE Best Bloody Mary in the 5 state area.
(Maybe farther)