I am trying to figure that out for myself and I have been in the business for about 3 years. I am telling you I have worked extremely hard installing fences, hauling and working cattle, buying feed as cost effectively as I can, and let's not forget maintaining pastures. If I pencil everything in it is defiantly a loss even with the prices being up. I have about 50+ head now with about 16 heifers coming into production next year, but all I can say is that it is a hard business to make money in and I guarantee you that most people who hold a normal job never think about putting the sweat into a cattle farm like you have to when developing one.
Let me give you a prime example of my income this past year…. I grossed 16,500 dollars this past year. As I said earlier I held back 16 heifers so my income could have been a bit higher. Now I got to get through the winter feeding 70 head of cattle. In addition to that I we have had a drought so I have to buy most of my hay. Lets say I can buy my hay at 45 dollars…. And it may take 4 bales per head to get through the winter so that is 12,600 dollars right there. Now they also need some added protein like corn gluten and soy hull pellets. Add another 4,000 by the time I get to march when my clover I planted (1,670 in seed cost alone) grows enough for them to graze. Now discount my time, and my tractors, medicine, and it is a break even proposition even with the increase in prices. I don't see how people are fed beef the way the business model is set up. And don't get me started on your land costs because they are not included.