La Niña

cowboy43

Well-known member
Joined
Mar 7, 2009
Messages
1,945
City & State/Province
Central Texas
just read the weather bureau is predicting La Niña to return in a few months, in 2011 thru 2012 it produced the worst drought in Texas in history, hope they mis this forecast like they have La Nino.
 
cowboy43":3tfjnhr0 said:
Is this right?
El Nino----wet
La Niña---drought
Depends. Some places are wetter with one and drier with the other. and vice versa
 
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TennesseeTuxedo":1hmedk1a said:
El Niño.
No, cowboy 43 is correct. The current El Niño is going to be transitioning into La Niña in the coming months, and it was a strong La Niña that caused sever weather in 2011--------drought in SW US (including Texas) and bad floods in places like Australia.
However, the transition is not forecast to be complete until Fall 2016, s if there is drought, it would likely be in 2017 assuming the El Niña effect remains strong until 2017.
 
greybeard":2jyiyohb said:
TennesseeTuxedo":2jyiyohb said:
El Niño.
No, cowboy 43 is correct. The current El Niño is going to be transitioning into La Niña in the coming months, and it was a strong La Niña that caused sever weather in 2011--------drought in SW US (including Texas) and bad floods in places like Australia.
However, the transition is not forecast to be complete until Fall 2016, s if there is drought, it would likely be in 2017 assuming the El Niña effect remains strong until 2017.

He said La Nino. That's what i was correcting. It's El Niño y La Niña.
 
2011 And 2012 caused a lot of cattlemen to sell out and they never got back in, some due to age, they had spent their whole life building up their cow herd, they would sell some to buy feed for the remaining herd until all cattle and money was gone, have you ever tried to borrow money to buy cattle with no collateral , it just don't happen.
 
greybeard":1jid8we3 said:
However, the transition is not forecast to be complete until Fall 2016, s if there is drought, it would likely be in 2017 assuming the El Niña effect remains strong until 2017.

What does a transition look like ?
 
slick4591":3qnaytxy said:
Aaron":3qnaytxy said:
If I could take it from you I would. I love a good drought here.

Be vewry vewry careful what you ask for. 2011 put several folks out of business.

2012 was dry here. Put a lot of worry into guys over water supplies. The worst I had it was tanking water to cattle for a month, many did it all summer. I have chased water ever since so I can be ready for the next drought and not waste time hauling water. The hay quantity was slim that year, but unreal quality.

Stocker Steve":3qnaytxy said:
Aaron":3qnaytxy said:
If I could take it from you I would. I love a good drought here.

Have you looked into drain tile yet ?

I can only tile with a hoe. Grid tiling with a tile machine is $1500/acre here. I can buy 3 acres of good ground that either doesn't need tiling, or is already tiled, for the same price. Only grid tiling that gets done around here is government subsidized.

I need another dry summer so I can finish my hoe-tiling on one field. Peat-bog-burnouts saturated with water make my life miserable in that field.
 
Whatever it was last year here sure put the hurt on a lot of people.. We didn't have any significant rain from about this time of year until the end of august, and with scorching (even by southern standards) heat for 3 months and reduced snowpack made a lot of people unable to irrigate.. I was able to irrigate, and I did a whole lot of it, but it was just too hot for grass or alfalfa to grow.. after 10 weeks and 5 passes of irrigation there were some fields that only grew bout 16" and then got a rust/mildew.. turned the cows into it and they ate it anyhow, I made sure of that.
The benefit I had of unusually hot weather was that it kept up into the fall, and I didn't feed a bale of hay until Jan 1st.. a first for me, and part of that was due to selling the calves off early.
 

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