Ebenezer":j4cdlxgu said:
When we go back several decades prior to CED being around, the BWs meant more and got more discussion. Actual BW is not a thing that is going to get a scientific guy excited if you have EPDs for BW. Long story short, "back when" a BW EPD of 3 was getting high for heifers regardless of other data. Now the CED as positives and a knowledge of actual BW might get you into a closer fit but I'd have to know for sure that a 3+ BW EPD bull had calves born looking like a snake before I bred a heifer. This general type bull would not be compromised on height nor selected to be built like a rhino. He will be quite adequate on muscling and quite balanced in weight to height. +2 would be high enough to gamble on for me with heifers and with a +CED.
BR can poo poo this non-scientific thought, too, but the BW in the maternal grand dam has a lot to do with the issue on a heifer's or cow's birth weights regardless what she is bred to. A high BW back in the MGD is going to create an issue - opinion.
A great bull with a BW EPD of over 3 is going to set some calves up to not be "heifer bulls" as you know. But I think that you will be more pleased with the average type and performance. Buyers just need to understand that you have not stacked high BWs or selected a sire that is unbalanced. Folks seem scared of bulls bred for cows anymore but they like the calves. Go figure. But I have come to wonder about the comparative value of EPDs as some, like MM, have raced into the 30's or higher and folks, I assume, are still mainly forage based. But I think that you are hitting the nail on the head with length of gestation being a compounded problem in CED.
Side note if you believe in the voodoo of Bonsma applications: if a bull sires calves in your environment and the bull calves are smaller than the heifer calves that is an indication that the sire is not a good fit for your environment. BR can poo poo again and is welcomed to do so. Just a thought as I shake my rattle and dance around the fire. :)
It is only a thought at this point.
The essence of the concept in the OP is that breeding of low birthweight bulls to low birth weight heifers/cows over several generations will result in shorter and shorter gestation periods - thus lowering the birth weight. That is why Gizmom ask me the following:
Have you bred low birth weight bulls to low birth weight heifers for several generations? Your "side note" at the bottom of the last paragraph does not speak to the issue of "length of gestation".
Son of Butch has introduced another factor - direct inheritance. Quote - "Conclusion: gestation length is a heritable variation".
If you have some quotes from Bonsma on
low birth weight being influenced by length of gestation, could you please post them? If you have actual research that addresses that concept, IMO, that would be even better.