Genetically improving marbling score is probably a much bigger and longer task than most realise, unless they have seen the estimated correlation behind the EBV’s, which I must say, isn’t well promoted and you’ll probably see why.
Here in Australia marbling is measured on a scale of between 1 and 9, although I don’t know how they correlate to the grading systems in other countries.
http://www.ausmeat.com.au/media/3407/be ... nguage.pdf
Here is the relevant quote about the correlation between our marble scores and the IMF EBV from the Agricultural Business Research Institute (ABRI) that, through their Breedplan business, calculates all the EBV’s here in Australia and for many breeds in North America (including Canadian Angus) and the world.
Intramuscular Fat (IMF) EBVs are estimates of genetic differences between animals in intramuscular fat (marbling) at the 12/13 rib site in a 300kg carcase. IMF EBVs are reported as differences in percentage (%) IMF.... Recent research would suggest that 1 marble score is equivalent to approximately 1.5% intra-muscular fat so the variation shown between sires is not that large. This relationship still needs more data to confirm the conversion from marble score to intra-muscular fat.
(Here’s the link to the source if you want to download all the info about Breedplan EBV’s
http://breedplan.une.edu.au/booklets/A% ... ete%29.pdf).
I’d be interested to see actual data on estimated conversion rates between IMF and marbling grade for different grading systems- I guess it exists somewhere for Breedplan to reference “recent research”.
Although it’s there if you look hard for it- this conversion estimate is given very little publicity and no-one seems to recognise or talk about what it actually represents. In Australia the Hereford breed average EBV for IMF for 2007 born calves is 0.0.... so although ABRI disclaims that the conversion needs more data, assuming it’s correct- to raise the average marble score by one Aus-Meat grade in a generation we would have to use a sire with an EBV of 3.0. Trouble is, no such sire exists. Check out the 2007 born percentiles and you will see that 1.5 itself is well above the top 1% range.
http://abri.une.edu.au/online/cgi-bin/i ... 2B3C2B3C3A
Even in the Australian Angus population, by Breedplan’s own estimation all the focus on improving marbling over time has resulted in about half a grade’s improvement since the benchmark figure was set, given the average in the registered population is now 0.8.
http://abri.une.edu.au/online/cgi-bin/i ... 2B3C2B3C3A. And this is just within the registered portion of the breed- there will be a significant genetic lag in commercial herds.
I don’t know about 10 generations exactly, but within one breed to genetically improve marbling significantly enough to measure the difference in the abattoir will take a long, long time... I’m certainly not saying marbling isn’t important- it is. But with so little scope for timely improvement if you believe the estimates of those who calculate the EBV’s, it makes you wonder why some breeds/breeders place such a large weighting upon it in their selection processes. Many bulls claimed to be high marbling aren’t going to make an appreciable difference in one generation. Perhaps spin in the absence of public knowledge of the estimated association sells.