Fall forecast.

[kenny thomas]

Clinchvalley86 posted earlier about our area having a dry fall the last 2 years. Doesn't look much better this year. Here is the Old Farmers Almanac prediction for this fall.
https://www.newsweek.com/old-farmers-almanac-predicts-us-weather-fall-2025-2103388

 

[Mrcopier]

So far the farmers almanac has been wrong for our area this year. I’m glad

 

[sstterry]

Clinchvalley86 posted earlier about our area having a dry fall the last 2 years. Doesn't look much better this year. Here is the Old Farmers Almanac prediction for this fall.
https://www.newsweek.com/old-farmers-almanac-predicts-us-weather-fall-2025-2103388

This has also been one of the hottest summers I can ever remember. There have been random hotter days in the past, but we have been above 90 almost every day for the past month.

 

[ClinchValley86]

This has also been one of the hottest summers I can ever remember. There have been random hotter days in the past, but we have been above 90 almost every day for the past month.

Next week we be awful close to 100 all week long. Actual temp. I work outside and have been really struggling. Feel bad for people that have to keep pushing thru when its this hot. At least I can decide to call it a day.

@kenny thomas To my recollection, we been dry the last 5 falls. I drilled ryegrass in 2019 (i think) and never got enough water to bring it up. Has been the same every year since.

 

[jltrent]

Been out in a lot of heat lately trying to get things done. Some days changed clothes three times and been consuming about 2 watermelons a week to stay hydrated. It want do itself. We have been pretty wet here this year so when it does dry up there will be a drought.

 

[chevytaHOE5674]

I dont put much/any faith in the long term forecasts like that. They are lucky to get tomorrows forecast correct let alone months from now.

 

[kenny thomas]

Been out in a lot of heat lately trying to get things done. Some days changed clothes three times and been consuming about 2 watermelons a week to stay hydrated. It want do itself. We have been pretty wet here this year so when it does dry up there will be a drought.

The last 2 years especially i have wasted the Urea i put on fescue. No rain, no growth. I dont plan on spreading any this year if this forecast holds true. I have more grass than they can eat and barns full of hay so why spend more on Urea.

 

[ClinchValley86]

The last 2 years especially i have wasted the Urea i put on fescue. No rain, no growth. I dont plan on spreading any this year if this forecast holds true. I have more grass than they can eat and barns full of hay so why spend more on Urea.

Thats a good call it say. Really hurts the feelings to waste that money and effort.

 

[ClinchValley86]

Been out in a lot of heat lately trying to get things done. Some days changed clothes three times and been consuming about 2 watermelons a week to stay hydrated. It want do itself. We have been pretty wet here this year so when it does dry up there will be a drought.

Ive watched lots of rain around me this year and we get only a few drops. Last week we did get 5+ inches though. Needed that.

 

[Dave]

We got 0.7 inch on Monday. Add that to the 0.7 inch on July 4. That makes 1.4 inch this month. I am doing a happy dance. On Monday morning I did question my sanity while changing irrigation in the rain. A while later at the post office a gal who is a life time resident here said she was going to move a wheel line. But thought better of doing that in the rain so she just shut the pump off.

 

[chevytaHOE5674]

We've had 14" of rain in the last 2 weeks. Plenty of moisture but not so much in the way of heat. Need some heat to dry things up so we can finially get to making some hay.

 

[jltrent]

Ive watched lots of rain around me this year and we get only a few drops. Last week we did get 5+ inches though. Needed that.

Unreal the difference in rain amounts around me. I went down a road a few days ago as a crow flies maybe 20 miles from me and it looked bone dry. We have been wet so far.

 

[4hfarms]

Hope its not going to be as hot/dry as last year. I fed hay from October. That hit me in the pocket book. For comparison, the year before we only fed hay for 50 days. High heat+no rain=

I know the heat makes the ground to hard for rotations. I had problems today with step in posts. Time to move them to the larger fields to forage.

 

[ClinchValley86]

Hope its not going to be as hot/dry as last year. I fed hay from October. That hit me in the pocket book. For comparison, the year before we only fed hay for 50 days. High heat+no rain=

I know the heat makes the ground to hard for rotations. I had problems today with step in posts. Time to move them to the larger fields to forage.

Your step ins getting easier and easier each year? Even when bone dry here I'm still getting them to slip right in.

My problem is the ground is too soft now. Using 3 or 4 posts on each end to keep it from pulling out the ground.

Good problems to have! Hehe

 

[4hfarms]

Our ground here is heavy clay and small rock. When it dries out, it is ....cement. East Tn? Soft ground? Couldnt find it when we looked in the knox area 20 years ago. Was looking for semi level or rolling land with good ground. We found lots of large rock and vertical land.... not into goats/sheep. Then again our realtor judged a nice place to live by the availability of Shoney's and fried green tomatoes. She would sit in the car as we walked these overgrown forgotten farms looking for our next forever home. What an experience.

 

[ClinchValley86]

Our ground here is heavy clay and small rock. When it dries out, it is ....cement. East Tn? Soft ground? Couldnt find it when we looked in the knox area 20 years ago. Was looking for semi level or rolling land with good ground. We found lots of large rock and vertical land.... not into goats/sheep. Then again our realtor judged a nice place to live by the availability of Shoney's and fried green tomatoes. She would sit in the car as we walked these overgrown forgotten farms looking for our next forever home. What an experience.

Lots of this ground is going to be hard due to previous management. But it softens up quickly if given the chance.

In 2019 I used pigtails for the first time. Ruined probably 75 that first year because it required a 4 lb hammer to get them in all the way. As of last year, I have to use 3 to 5 pigtails at the ends of each run to keep them from pulling out. The ground is that soft. Can almost push the posts in, no foot required.

 

[4hfarms]

If we would get some steady interval rain it would be great. It's 90+deg for a month than get excessive rain for a day. Ground is hard until it rains, soaks up and gets soft for a week or so.

Moving again is not out of the question!

 

[coachg]

Weekly forecast are a joke this year , I wouldn’t put any stock in an extended forecast for fal .

 

[Texas Ranch Hand]

Our ground here is heavy clay and small rock. When it dries out, it is ....cement. East Tn? Soft ground? Couldnt find it when we looked in the knox area 20 years ago. Was looking for semi level or rolling land with good ground. We found lots of large rock and vertical land.... not into goats/sheep. Then again our realtor judged a nice place to live by the availability of Shoney's and fried green tomatoes. She would sit in the car as we walked these overgrown forgotten farms looking for our next forever home. What an experience.

Would you go so far as to say Rocky Top

 

[4hfarms]

I don't know how they grew food there before machines.

Here in west TN, we live in what they call the magic valley, due to the river. I don't farm, but I do like a garden or two.