Ollie,
If you've ever seen the movie "Princess Bride" and watched the Sicilian use his logic when it came to drinking the poison? That's about what you have proposed here! :lol:
Youre right about flipping a coin here. It would take more offspring from each to tell you for sure with EPD's will run more true. Plus you must have a history of the operation, and the parents.
There is a mutlitude of things which could iflunence EPD's. ie: management, feed, calving ease, contemporary groupings etc, etc.
But.........if I had to vote based on the limited information you gave me here, I would vote for the bull who give an actual BW of 73 lbs assuming all other conditions were equal! ;-)