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<blockquote data-quote="Stocker Steve" data-source="post: 1639580" data-attributes="member: 1715"><p>U of Neb publishes an annual Beef Heifer Replacement Forecast. They use the government forecast of future cow-calf returns each year to calculate a breakeven replacement value today for different levels of annual cow care cost and cow longevity. The lower the annual cow care cost and the lower the culling rate - - the higher the breakeven value of a replacement. This value is the same whether you buy or raise the heifer. </p><p></p><p>The underlying issue is they are not expecting a beef market come back for several years. <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite3" alt=":(" title="Frown :(" loading="lazy" data-shortname=":(" /> So then you can not afford to pay much today for a replacement, that will be producing most of her lifetime calves in the upcoming low return years, if your goal is to make a profit.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Stocker Steve, post: 1639580, member: 1715"] U of Neb publishes an annual Beef Heifer Replacement Forecast. They use the government forecast of future cow-calf returns each year to calculate a breakeven replacement value today for different levels of annual cow care cost and cow longevity. The lower the annual cow care cost and the lower the culling rate - - the higher the breakeven value of a replacement. This value is the same whether you buy or raise the heifer. The underlying issue is they are not expecting a beef market come back for several years. :( So then you can not afford to pay much today for a replacement, that will be producing most of her lifetime calves in the upcoming low return years, if your goal is to make a profit. [/QUOTE]
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