Frankie:
Always like your posts. One thing I would point out. They were only using one marbling gene in their tests. I think as they add genes it will become a much better predictor. I think adding the second gene would improve its standing quite a bit should they run the test again.
I hear you about single trait selection. While marbling is single trait selection, isn't selecting for more and better meat on the rail the ultimate goal of all producers? Another concern is that in the Angus breed there is one predominant sire that is producing offspring that tests high in the GeneStar program. Gardens Prime Time will be found somewhere in almost every 9-10 star pedigree. It would be terrible if the focus comes on just a few bloodlines.
Mike, I will be honest. I didn't really understand your conclusion you posted. It was over my head. All I know is that breeders in the industry are constantly looking at trends and trying to sort out the fads. They also look at science and how it can help them improve their herds. Several breeders that have historically been the most adept at distinguishing trends from fads and implementing new uses for science in their program seem to be looking at gene testing. While we probably seldom realize the genetic potential for a given animal, the animal can't perform beyond his genetic potential. The whole focus of breeding has been to maximize the potential in the breed. I fail to see how genetic testing won't become paramount in that effort.
Help me out on carcass EPDs. I know Jeff Johnson of Summitcrest and Henry Bergfeld favored their marbling EPDs over IMF ultrasound results and they had the data to prove it. Their marbling EPDs are based on a huge number of carcass data from their own steers (i think they still lead the breed in carcass data collection), and recently their marbling EPDs for each steer were a better predictor of final marbling than the ultrasound IMFs on each steer that they had slaughtered. It's my understanding that based on the number of steers they harvested, they were pretty disappointed in how the ultrasound IMF data correlated to the actual marbling when harvested. They used two different ultrasound technicians, each with similar results. Does a breeder, like Summitcrest, with a huge ammount of carcass data, have more accurate carcass epds than the breeder who has no idea how their own steers are grading? Wouldn't collecting data on all those steers make their marbling EPDs extremely valuable?
Another breeder was commenting on how easy it was to change IMF results, he mentioned withholding feed, increasing their water intake, and others as ways to significantly change the how animals tested. He mentioned that actual IMF ultrasounds were only good to compare bulls within the group tested, and that even then there may be reasons other than marbling why a given bull may not test as well as one of his counterparts. Is this correct?
Learning a lot, thanks guys.