Living in a rainforest is fun and all...
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5S Cattle
Well-known member
I’d love to have a 3 day storm right now. Dry as a popcorn fart down here
op:
Nesikep
Well-known member
We got that same storm.. a few roads had mudslides across them, lots of rock. I drove home friday night and I hit puddles where I've never seen puddles before
ALACOWMAN
Well-known member
cowgal604 said:Until the monsoon hits for 3 days straight and the fields are flooded.
Literally, torrential down pour for 3 solid days. But, this absorbed within a few hours. But WOW. No level of drainage could prepare for that epic rainfall.
Looks like the perfect time to work some cattle..
greybeard
Well-known member
Cowgal said 'epic'.........
Greybeard sez;
Pfft..Hold my beer and watch this...
Greybeard sez;
Pfft..Hold my beer and watch this...
Dave
Well-known member
I saw a post by my old elk hunting partner who lives by the mouth of the Columbia River. January he had 44 inches of rain in 31 days. That would do more than flood the fields.
kenny thomas
Well-known member
And it wasn't just greybeards farm. 100-200 miles in every direction. I drove 5 hours around it to get to south TX.
Caustic Burno
Well-known member
kenny thomas said:
If I remember right we got 57 inches in that event.
5S Cattle
Well-known member
Caustic Burno said:
Circa August 25th 2018? We had our first son during Harvey. Came home to a house with no electricity or running water. That was fun being new parents trying to figure that out
kenny thomas
Well-known member
Yep, I came pretty close to you going from College Station to Beeville. I worked the coastal area near Port Aransas after Harvey. Helped with food, water, ice. Was very impressed by the people of TX and how they came from everywhere to help.5S Cattle said:Caustic Burno said:
Circa August 25th 2018? We had our first son during Harvey. Came home to a house with no electricity or running water. That was fun being new parents trying to figure that out
Dave
Well-known member
After living on the Washington coast for 66 years I am so glad I moved to an area with 10 inch annual rainfall. It is a big deal to get an inch of rain in a day instead of being a daily occurrence all winter long.
Dave
Well-known member
cowgal604 said:
The Chehalis River was out my back door. During the bigger flood events I was stranded on an island. The river running at 75,000 cubic feet per second. That is a lot of water going by in a hurry. I had over 250 acres of deeded and leased pasture. During those floods there was about 2 acres that wasn't under water. I learned to keep the cows where they could get to those 2 acres as the water was rising.
greybeard
Well-known member
No, it was Aug 26/27/28 2017. I think it was Aug 29 maybe 30th I was able to get back in and around on most of the place and start counting up loss.
Scroll down to the very bottom:
https://nwis.waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/peak?site_no=08070000&agency_cd=USGS&format=html
I don't know exactly how much rain we got. had over 30" Saturday the 26th evening for the previous 36 hrs, then I dumped 7' more inches out the gage the next day.
How bad was it?
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/reviewing-hurricane-harveys-catastrophic-rain-and-flooding
Climate.gov said this in it's interim report on Harvey in Aug 2018:
How likely is an event like this?
One of the ways meteorologists gauge the intensity of extreme events is to describe them in terms of their frequency or probability, based on historical observations. For the estimates to be valid, of course, scientists need an up-to-date record of historical precipitation, and NOAA was in the midst of an update for the Texas precipitation frequency data when Harvey hit.
This means that an official analysis of whether rainfall amounts in Harvey were a 1-in-500-year event or 1-in-1000 will have to wait for the time being. However, Dr. Sanja Perica, chief of the National Weather Service’s Hydrometeorological Design Studies Center, has noted that preliminary estimates for the area suggest that some locations likely received rainfall amounts that have a 0.1 (one in a thousand) percent chance of occurring in any year.
Analysis from other groups also came to similar conclusion. As noted by the Washington Post, in an analysis of the highest one-day rainfall amounts done by Shane Hubbard of the University of Wisconsin, such a large amount of rain falling over a one-day period has a 0.1% chance of occurring in any given year. Analysis of the five-day rainfall amounts by the company MetSat found that five-day rainfall totals on par with Harvey’s had a 0.004% to 0.0002% chance of occurring in any given year.
Metstat had a different take:
https://www.livescience.com/60378-hurricane-harvey-once-in-500000-year-flood.html
http://metstat.com/hurricane-harvey-extraordinary-flooding-for-houston-and-surrounding-areas/
A useful way of examining just how extreme this event was is to view it from a frequency perspective using Average Recurrence Intervals (ARIs). Harvey is interesting in that for a 24-hour period, several areas experienced 24-hour rains that occur every 1,000+ years on average. However, longer duration rainfalls were even rarer; MetStat examined ARIs for longer durations over the course of 72- and 120-hours using USGS Report 98-4044 (Asquith 1998) to get a handle on the true recurrence interval of this rainfall event over Houston.
Figures 5 and 6 show a 24-hour ARI and a 120-hour ARI, where the 24-hour shows a maximum recurrence interval of more than 1,000 years or a 0.1% chance of occurring in any given year, whereas the 120-hour shows localized maximum recurrence intervals of over 500,000 years or a 0.0002% chance of occurring in any given year.
Hurricane Harvey may have dumped an unprecedented level of water, one expected to be seen just once every 500,000 years, in some areas of Southeast Texas, according to a new report.
The 24-hour measures of rain falling during Hurricane Harvey were unprecedented and exceeded the rate predicted to occur once every 1,000 years, researchers found. And the flood levels seen in some isolated areas of Houston over a five-day period exceeded those predicted to occur twice in a million years, a new analysis found. In some parts of Texas, more than 51 inches (130 centimeters) fell over the five-day period, the report found.
To get to those eye-popping statistics, scientists combined rainfall modeling data with a century of precipitation statistics compiled in a 1998 U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) report.
I have lived in interesting times.
Scroll down to the very bottom:
https://nwis.waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/peak?site_no=08070000&agency_cd=USGS&format=html
I don't know exactly how much rain we got. had over 30" Saturday the 26th evening for the previous 36 hrs, then I dumped 7' more inches out the gage the next day.
How bad was it?
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/reviewing-hurricane-harveys-catastrophic-rain-and-flooding
Climate.gov said this in it's interim report on Harvey in Aug 2018:
How likely is an event like this?
One of the ways meteorologists gauge the intensity of extreme events is to describe them in terms of their frequency or probability, based on historical observations. For the estimates to be valid, of course, scientists need an up-to-date record of historical precipitation, and NOAA was in the midst of an update for the Texas precipitation frequency data when Harvey hit.
This means that an official analysis of whether rainfall amounts in Harvey were a 1-in-500-year event or 1-in-1000 will have to wait for the time being. However, Dr. Sanja Perica, chief of the National Weather Service’s Hydrometeorological Design Studies Center, has noted that preliminary estimates for the area suggest that some locations likely received rainfall amounts that have a 0.1 (one in a thousand) percent chance of occurring in any year.
Analysis from other groups also came to similar conclusion. As noted by the Washington Post, in an analysis of the highest one-day rainfall amounts done by Shane Hubbard of the University of Wisconsin, such a large amount of rain falling over a one-day period has a 0.1% chance of occurring in any given year. Analysis of the five-day rainfall amounts by the company MetSat found that five-day rainfall totals on par with Harvey’s had a 0.004% to 0.0002% chance of occurring in any given year.
Metstat had a different take:
https://www.livescience.com/60378-hurricane-harvey-once-in-500000-year-flood.html
http://metstat.com/hurricane-harvey-extraordinary-flooding-for-houston-and-surrounding-areas/
A useful way of examining just how extreme this event was is to view it from a frequency perspective using Average Recurrence Intervals (ARIs). Harvey is interesting in that for a 24-hour period, several areas experienced 24-hour rains that occur every 1,000+ years on average. However, longer duration rainfalls were even rarer; MetStat examined ARIs for longer durations over the course of 72- and 120-hours using USGS Report 98-4044 (Asquith 1998) to get a handle on the true recurrence interval of this rainfall event over Houston.
Figures 5 and 6 show a 24-hour ARI and a 120-hour ARI, where the 24-hour shows a maximum recurrence interval of more than 1,000 years or a 0.1% chance of occurring in any given year, whereas the 120-hour shows localized maximum recurrence intervals of over 500,000 years or a 0.0002% chance of occurring in any given year.
Hurricane Harvey may have dumped an unprecedented level of water, one expected to be seen just once every 500,000 years, in some areas of Southeast Texas, according to a new report.
The 24-hour measures of rain falling during Hurricane Harvey were unprecedented and exceeded the rate predicted to occur once every 1,000 years, researchers found. And the flood levels seen in some isolated areas of Houston over a five-day period exceeded those predicted to occur twice in a million years, a new analysis found. In some parts of Texas, more than 51 inches (130 centimeters) fell over the five-day period, the report found.
To get to those eye-popping statistics, scientists combined rainfall modeling data with a century of precipitation statistics compiled in a 1998 U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) report.
I have lived in interesting times.
Nesikep
Well-known member
Dave said:
Did you get a bunch of bad weather last weekend? We got about 2-3 inches, most of it friday night.. that was what we call heavy rain here..
Most I've seen is an inch an hour steady for a whole day and night... Cowgirl, you remember November 2003 (maybe 04) I think it was? #10 and Fraser highway was flooded right out.
Dave
Well-known member
Nesikep said:
We did have one day last week that it rained a bit. Maybe Tuesday morning? One of the neighbors said they had an inch. The bottom of my rain gauge is cracked so all the water leaks out.
Our rainfall data:
Feb 2 2020 1.8 mm
Feb 1 2020 5.8 mm
Jan 31 2020 34.8 mm
Jan 30 2020 6.4 mm
Jan 29 2020 6.6 mm
Jan 28 2020 1.6 mm
Jan 27 2020 4.6 mm
Jan 26 2020 4.2 mm
Jan 25 2020 5.0 mm
Jan 24 2020 9.2 mm
Jan 23 2020 28.6 mm
Jan 22 2020 9.8 mm
Jan 21 2020 8.4 mm
Jan 20 2020 5.8 mm
Vancouver Is Awesome spoke to Matt MacDonald, a meteorologist with Environment Canada, who explained that January has only seen one dry day over the course of the entire month.
"Some days have only seen a trace amount of precipitation, but there have been very wet days," he explained. "As of 2 p.m. on Friday, Jan. 31, YVR has received 245 millimetres of rainfall."
"To put that in perspective, an average January receives 158 millimetres of rainfall. Vancouver has seen 55 per cent more rainfall than the historical average…”
YVR saw 256.6 millimetres of precipitation in January, with 226 millimetres of rain over 26 days and 34.6 centimetres of snow over four days — with a mix of both on some days. Only Jan. 9 had no precipitation whatsoever.
The month ended with a rainfall warning for much of Metro Vancouver, including Richmond, with some areas expected to receive between 100 to 120 mm of rain.
MacDonald noted that it wasn't the wettest January on record. In 1935, the city saw 337 millimetres.
Environment Canada is calling for sunshine on Saturday followed by a chance of snowfall on Sunday.
Feb 2 2020 1.8 mm
Feb 1 2020 5.8 mm
Jan 31 2020 34.8 mm
Jan 30 2020 6.4 mm
Jan 29 2020 6.6 mm
Jan 28 2020 1.6 mm
Jan 27 2020 4.6 mm
Jan 26 2020 4.2 mm
Jan 25 2020 5.0 mm
Jan 24 2020 9.2 mm
Jan 23 2020 28.6 mm
Jan 22 2020 9.8 mm
Jan 21 2020 8.4 mm
Jan 20 2020 5.8 mm
Vancouver Is Awesome spoke to Matt MacDonald, a meteorologist with Environment Canada, who explained that January has only seen one dry day over the course of the entire month.
"Some days have only seen a trace amount of precipitation, but there have been very wet days," he explained. "As of 2 p.m. on Friday, Jan. 31, YVR has received 245 millimetres of rainfall."
"To put that in perspective, an average January receives 158 millimetres of rainfall. Vancouver has seen 55 per cent more rainfall than the historical average…”
YVR saw 256.6 millimetres of precipitation in January, with 226 millimetres of rain over 26 days and 34.6 centimetres of snow over four days — with a mix of both on some days. Only Jan. 9 had no precipitation whatsoever.
The month ended with a rainfall warning for much of Metro Vancouver, including Richmond, with some areas expected to receive between 100 to 120 mm of rain.
MacDonald noted that it wasn't the wettest January on record. In 1935, the city saw 337 millimetres.
Environment Canada is calling for sunshine on Saturday followed by a chance of snowfall on Sunday.
