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<blockquote data-quote="Son of Butch" data-source="post: 1163111" data-attributes="member: 14585"><p>Running with that thought, I've looked back over at several years of market charts, but no sooner then I spot a trend of a</p><p>few years of cattle prices peaking in July then pulling back only to regain steam and peak again in December...</p><p>then I come across other years where that doesn't hold true at all.</p><p></p><p>I did notice that most markets, the majority of the time, no matter whether rising or falling have a monthly fluctuation </p><p>of about 2.5% from the low to the high. The month may even end flat with 0% change, but there is week to week variation </p><p>allowing day traders buying and selling opportunities within each month.</p><p>2.5% x 12 months = 30%</p><p>But markets <strong>never</strong> move in a straight line, the charts are always a series of jagged lines, either falling or rising.</p><p>So that most years, even when the market trend is falling or rising, the variation from the market low to the high for the year </p><p>is about 18-20% and not 30%</p><p>That's about all I can tell you for now.</p><p></p><p>I do have a dart board.</p><p><strong>One day I'm going to buy me a Monkey.</strong></p><p>Because most market pros predictions, be it stocks and bonds, gold and silver, corn, soybeans or cattle are no more</p><p>accurate than a monkey with a dart board.</p><p></p><p>I'm gonna name my monkey <strong>Nostradartmus</strong> <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite1" alt=":)" title="Smile :)" loading="lazy" data-shortname=":)" /></p><p>Calhoun; Do I foresee feeder cattle prices falling in November?</p><p>Yes, but Nostradartmus says only on the day you sell. <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite3" alt=":(" title="Frown :(" loading="lazy" data-shortname=":(" /></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Son of Butch, post: 1163111, member: 14585"] Running with that thought, I've looked back over at several years of market charts, but no sooner then I spot a trend of a few years of cattle prices peaking in July then pulling back only to regain steam and peak again in December... then I come across other years where that doesn't hold true at all. I did notice that most markets, the majority of the time, no matter whether rising or falling have a monthly fluctuation of about 2.5% from the low to the high. The month may even end flat with 0% change, but there is week to week variation allowing day traders buying and selling opportunities within each month. 2.5% x 12 months = 30% But markets [b]never[/b] move in a straight line, the charts are always a series of jagged lines, either falling or rising. So that most years, even when the market trend is falling or rising, the variation from the market low to the high for the year is about 18-20% and not 30% That's about all I can tell you for now. I do have a dart board. [b]One day I'm going to buy me a Monkey.[/b] Because most market pros predictions, be it stocks and bonds, gold and silver, corn, soybeans or cattle are no more accurate than a monkey with a dart board. I'm gonna name my monkey [b]Nostradartmus[/b] :) Calhoun; Do I foresee feeder cattle prices falling in November? Yes, but Nostradartmus says only on the day you sell. :( [/QUOTE]
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