23.2 BSE INFECTED MAD COWS IN STANDING CANADIAN ADULT POP.

[flounder]

Subject: Re: REPORT ON THE INVESTIGATION OF THE NINTH CASE OF BSE IN CANADA UPDATE MARCH 26, 2007
Date: March 26, 2007 at 1:29 pm PST


Attachment 1: Estimation of BSE Prevalence in Canada

snip...

Table 5 summarizes the results of the estimation of BSE prevalence in the standing Canadian adult cattle population as of August 15, 2006. Based on the expected prevalence value under the BBC model and the estimated adult herd size (Table 1), the expected number of BSE-infected animals in the standing Canadian adult cattle population is 4.1. By comparison, the expected value obtained under BSurvE Prevalence B is 3.9 per million, which corresponds to an estimated 23.2 BSE-infected animals in the standing Canadian adult cattle population.

snip...


http://www.aphis.usda.gov/newsroom/hot_ ... alence.pdf





greetings,


23.2 BSE-infected mad cows in the standing Canadian adult cattle population. very disturbing...

tss


BSE; MRR; IMPORTATION OF LIVE BOVINES AND PRODUCTS DERIVED FROM
BOVINES [Docket No. APHIS-2006-0041] RIN 0579-AC01


http://lists.ifas.ufl.edu/cgi-bin/wa.ex ... D=0&P=3854




http://lists.ifas.ufl.edu/cgi-bin/wa.ex ... T=0&P=4652




http://lists.ifas.ufl.edu/cgi-bin/wa.ex ... D=0&P=2583




Importation of Certain Commodities From BSE Minimal-risk Regions (Canada)

Environmental Assessment, October 27, 2006


http://www.aphis.usda.gov/newsroom/hot_ ... 7-2006.pdf




Docket No. 03-080-1 -- USDA ISSUES PROPOSED RULE TO ALLOW LIVE ANIMAL
IMPORTS FROM CANADA


https://web01.aphis.usda.gov/BSEcom.nsf ... AutoFramed





TSS

 

[Oldtimer]

23.2 BSE-infected mad cows in the standing Canadian adult cattle population. very disturbing...

With the 11 BSE-infected cows already found in Canada, that would mean that they have as many infected cattle as Japan-- and Japan has been testing ALL- and have native origin human deaths from vCJD .... :roll: :shock:

What are the odds/guarantees that if the border opens to old cattle under Rule 2 as the USDA/AMI/NCBA/Tyson etal want to that these 23+ already infected cattle won't end up in the US...

And with the proof of the Canadian feedban not working (5 POST feedban born cattle) which means the disease is still spreading ( as young as 4 year olds found) how many more will there be in the 10-20 years that CFIA/USDA estimated it will take to eradicate it ( if a working feedban comes to be)... :???:

 

[skcatlman]

Why the difference in numbers between the OIE (expects 1.5 per million head) and the AFIS predicted numbers ? Where did AFIS get the number of older cattle ( 4.1 million) that would be about close to half the total number of cattle in canada, i will try to find the numbers from stats Canada ?

 

[Oldtimer]

If you go by the APHIS studies-- they estimate the US at 3 or at the most 4 BSE cattle in the entire US herd- and they estimate 23.2 BSE cattle in the Canadian herd, which is 1/7th the size....That makes the risk factor of Canadian cattle many many times higher....40 to 50 times at the minimum....

But then if you factor in the young age of the cattle you're finding in Canada (as young as 4), and the continuity of positives showing up (every 2-3 months), and that half are POST feedban born which is evidence the feedban has not/ is not working and the disease is still spreading in Canada-- the Risk factor increases extensively....

 

[Sandy66]

As soon as Rule 2 passes OT we'll stick those 23.2 mad cows on the first pot headed south. Guess we could put that skinny old .2 bugger in the doghouse. She won't take up much room.