1% chance

[GMN]

And of course we just cut our bottom on Tuesday. Baled everything that was dry yesterday, and it wasn't supposed to rain till Friday night, so of course the 1% turned into 2 inches of heavy rain this morning, and of course all the nice hay got wet. Go figure!

GMN

 

[bandit80]

And of course we just cut our bottom on Tuesday. Baled everything that was dry yesterday, and it wasn't supposed to rain till Friday night, so of course the 1% turned into 2 inches of heavy rain this morning, and of course all the nice hay got wet. Go figure!

GMN

Back in 2002-2003, my area was hit pretty hard with drought. It did not rain a drop from end of June until mid august. There were days with 20-30% chances of rain, and we mowed hay to "try and make it rain". Didn't work. Then there are periods like now, where a almost no chance of rain turns into a downpour. I feel your pain. I wish I could send some to our fellow cattlemen in the southeast and Texas where they are experiencing drought.

 

[dun]

We don;t have any hay down so we only got 3/10ths. The good news is were back to 10 days from a drought. We went 4 days without rain and was starting to worry. That's the longest we've gone at one time this year without any rain

 

[ALACOWMAN]

And of course we just cut our bottom on Tuesday. Baled everything that was dry yesterday, and it wasn't supposed to rain till Friday night, so of course the 1% turned into 2 inches of heavy rain this morning, and of course all the nice hay got wet. Go figure!

GMN

this is what i was saying on the coffee shop.. it actually means reading between the line theres a 100% chance, it will over 1% of the area it was forcast for, which would be directly over the top of your hay

 

[Jogeephus]

Dang, I can't even get that much rain with a 80% chance. Maybe I should cut some hay too. On second thought, I can't do that cause you can't cut what you don't have. :cry2: :help:

Do you think if I fill the bed of my truck with bags of sac crete and leave the truck parked in the hayfield and go on a three day drinking binge do you think the bags will be wet when I sober up?

 

[ALACOWMAN]

doubt it you'd just have one hell of a hangaround..and a dusty field..have yall not got the first cutting yet?

 

[dun]

Dang, I can't even get that much rain with a 80% chance. Maybe I should cut some hay too. On second thought, I can't do that cause you can't cut what you don't have. :cry2: :help:

Do you think if I fill the bed of my truck with bags of sac crete and leave the truck parked in the hayfield and go on a three day drinking binge do you think the bags will be wet when I sober up?

Try something more expensive like fertilizer or seed. Might help to have the bags open too

 

[Jogeephus]

doubt it you'd just have one be nice of a hangaround..and a dusty field..have yall not got the first cutting yet?

Yeah, that hangaround would hangaround me for several days and it just not worth it.

We were able to cut oats and ryegrass but nothing else cause it just quit raining. I just paid my fertilizer bill yesterday and I have absolutely nothing to show for it. Its getting depressing. I thought last year was bad but this is getting serious. To make matters worse, it will pour 25 - 50 miles in all directions (usually on towns) around us and we can watch the thunderheads but all we will get is a tenth. Everything I do is directly influenced by the weather or commodity prices of which I have absolutely no control. Its beginning to bum me out in a serious way. Heck, I don't even enjoy watching the cows anymore cause all I see is wilted grass.

 

[GMN]

doubt it you'd just have one be nice of a hangaround..and a dusty field..have yall not got the first cutting yet?

Yeah, that hangaround would hangaround me for several days and it just not worth it.

We were able to cut oats and ryegrass but nothing else cause it just quit raining. I just paid my fertilizer bill yesterday and I have absolutely nothing to show for it. Its getting depressing. I thought last year was bad but this is getting serious. To make matters worse, it will pour 25 - 50 miles in all directions (usually on towns) around us and we can watch the thunderheads but all we will get is a tenth. Everything I do is directly influenced by the weather or commodity prices of which I have absolutely no control. Its beginning to bum me out in a serious way. Heck, I don't even enjoy watching the cows anymore cause all I see is wilted grass.

Don't despair! We had that the last 2 -3 years, things will come around, and if they don't time to be creative. I know though it is frustrating seeing money go down the drain.

Gail

 

[grannysoo]

Dang, I can't even get that much rain with a 80% chance. Maybe I should cut some hay too. On second thought, I can't do that cause you can't cut what you don't have. :cry2: :help:

Do you think if I fill the bed of my truck with bags of sac crete and leave the truck parked in the hayfield and go on a three day drinking binge do you think the bags will be wet when I sober up?

If you're going on a 3 day drinking binge, come pick me up and I'll go too. Been one of them weeks.......

I have been fortunate enough to have my dad helping my (with advice) since we bought the farm, and he has always told me that a 10% change of rain was more probable here than a 40% chance. He also told me to quit watching the "local" weather conditions and start watching national. Watch for the high pressure area. When you have high pressure, it basically "can't" rain.

He has been right.

(By the way, if I can ever be half the man my dad is, I'll be great.)

 

[bigbull338]

hang in there the hay will dry.an hopefully you can get it baled.an get it hauled out before it rains again.

 

[msscamp]

And of course we just cut our bottom on Tuesday. Baled everything that was dry yesterday, and it wasn't supposed to rain till Friday night, so of course the 1% turned into 2 inches of heavy rain this morning, and of course all the nice hay got wet. Go figure!

GMN

Haven't you figured out that the lower the chance of rain, the harder you're going to get slammed yet? Murphy's Law is what I'm thinking, but I could be wrong on that.

 

[Jogeephus]

And of course we just cut our bottom on Tuesday. Baled everything that was dry yesterday, and it wasn't supposed to rain till Friday night, so of course the 1% turned into 2 inches of heavy rain this morning, and of course all the nice hay got wet. Go figure!

GMN

Haven't you figured out that the lower the chance of rain, the harder you're going to get slammed yet? Murphy's Law is what I'm thinking, but I could be wrong on that.

That's true. We had a 70% chance of SEVERE thunderstorms today. :help: :help: :banana: :banana: Got a tenth of an inch via a gentle spit that lasted over an hour and I somehow still had two large branches fall on my fence.

 

[ga. prime]

Yep, had 50% chance of rain the last four days in a row. During those four days we got 2 drops in one gauge, 3 in one, and 5 in another for a total of 10 drops. Wind damage moderate.

 

[john250]

It is the trend, stupid! (plagiarized from "it's the economy, stupid")
I'm drowning. We had half a year worth of rain in March. But, I guarantee, if there is a 20% chance of an isolated shower, there is a a 100% chance of enough rain to ruin your hay.
Last year, we were dry and an 80% chance was not enough. Weather trends begun, tend to continue. We can't get dry, GA can't get wet. Life isn't fair.

 

[1982vett]

Well, it did manage to rain in June. Got 3/10 ths last night. Hope we don't have to wait 34 days again for the next 3/10ths.

TexasBred, how many gauges did ya'll fill up this weekend?