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Coffee Shop
Will This Really Be The Future??
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<blockquote data-quote="Kell-inKY" data-source="post: 1334473" data-attributes="member: 23511"><p>I'm going to sound like a luddite, but, my point is things are not progressing exponentially anymore, if they were, we would have all kinds of new things, not just improving things we have had for years. I went back and re-read the first post and I think it boiled down to software. Almost every improvement listed was based on better software.</p><p></p><p>From the Wright Brothers 30mph flight, to the first breaking of the sound barrier was roughly 40 years. From NO flight to speed of sound in an incredibly short amount of time. Since then, things are getting incrementally faster/better, not exponentially.</p><p></p><p>60 years ago life was not that much different. We had radios, telephones, microwaves, TV, computers, cars, planes, trains etc.</p><p></p><p>All of these things have improved over the last 60 years, <strong>but roughly 60 years before that none of this even EXISTED.</strong></p><p></p><p>How many <strong>NEW</strong> inventions over the last 60 years compared to the first? Cell phone is taking a phone and combining it with a computer, not sure if that qualifies as a new invention?</p><p></p><p>If we were progressing at the same rate as the early 20th century, by now we should all have personal rocketships that can take us to the moon whenever we wanted. But instead, we are trying to design software to drive us to the grocery store, that's pretty lame.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Kell-inKY, post: 1334473, member: 23511"] I'm going to sound like a luddite, but, my point is things are not progressing exponentially anymore, if they were, we would have all kinds of new things, not just improving things we have had for years. I went back and re-read the first post and I think it boiled down to software. Almost every improvement listed was based on better software. From the Wright Brothers 30mph flight, to the first breaking of the sound barrier was roughly 40 years. From NO flight to speed of sound in an incredibly short amount of time. Since then, things are getting incrementally faster/better, not exponentially. 60 years ago life was not that much different. We had radios, telephones, microwaves, TV, computers, cars, planes, trains etc. All of these things have improved over the last 60 years, [b]but roughly 60 years before that none of this even EXISTED.[/b] How many [b]NEW[/b] inventions over the last 60 years compared to the first? Cell phone is taking a phone and combining it with a computer, not sure if that qualifies as a new invention? If we were progressing at the same rate as the early 20th century, by now we should all have personal rocketships that can take us to the moon whenever we wanted. But instead, we are trying to design software to drive us to the grocery store, that's pretty lame. [/QUOTE]
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