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<blockquote data-quote="bball" data-source="post: 1244414" data-attributes="member: 23752"><p>I agree there are many variables, however, you better believe when the CME talks trends for ANY commodity and futures, they are well thought out..the 33% was an example (atleast that's how I took it). And if you don't fully believe the beef market has trends and cycles, I invite you to do some research over the last hundred years, there is a distinct ten year pattern to it..pay particular attention to the beginning of a decade, the middle and the end. You will see the pattern quickly..I agree you can't predict weather/disease etc, but you better believe the market has the inside track when it comes to info on imports/exports. So they can make projections with a certain degree of accuracy..when the prices correct(and they will correct) I don't want to be the guy who just bought a trailer load of $3000 heifers.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="bball, post: 1244414, member: 23752"] I agree there are many variables, however, you better believe when the CME talks trends for ANY commodity and futures, they are well thought out..the 33% was an example (atleast that's how I took it). And if you don't fully believe the beef market has trends and cycles, I invite you to do some research over the last hundred years, there is a distinct ten year pattern to it..pay particular attention to the beginning of a decade, the middle and the end. You will see the pattern quickly..I agree you can't predict weather/disease etc, but you better believe the market has the inside track when it comes to info on imports/exports. So they can make projections with a certain degree of accuracy..when the prices correct(and they will correct) I don't want to be the guy who just bought a trailer load of $3000 heifers. [/QUOTE]
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