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<blockquote data-quote="TexasRancher" data-source="post: 1754186" data-attributes="member: 8359"><p>Nice insights..enjoyed it.</p><p>I did my charting and math few weeks ago.... and found the exact calculations from the DOW peak...36,276 until it's max drop 14,972...will be a 58.73% drop. The method I used was looking at ALL recessions/corrections mapped out to it's "stability point" area (which is similar on all recessions) during the recession before the rise upward to FIND the exact fall point this time today-which was shown to be DOW 14,972 just under 15k, it might drop farther than that (i expect) but it'll quickly stable out at 15k DOW. Now, it's a fact that normal corrections usually fall in the 20 to 35% range....but what everyone fails to see is we're long over due and markets have been synthetically propped up FOR YEARS so this one's going to be a harsh one...like the 1966 to 1981 era...super long duration 2 to 3 years down and then 10 year rise back to Dow 37k...it sucks and hurts a 59% drop in the stock markets...BUT it's NOT going to be as bad as a 80 to 90% correction some financial analysts predict. The good new is... in 16 to 28 months this puppy will bottom and then you'll want to pump-add money in for the next 10 years...as all will be good on the rise up. The smartest move for all millenniums would be to at least pull 50% of their assets to safe preservation funds for the next two years...i think they should do 100%...but even 50% will protect them over these next two years.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="TexasRancher, post: 1754186, member: 8359"] Nice insights..enjoyed it. I did my charting and math few weeks ago.... and found the exact calculations from the DOW peak...36,276 until it's max drop 14,972...will be a 58.73% drop. The method I used was looking at ALL recessions/corrections mapped out to it's "stability point" area (which is similar on all recessions) during the recession before the rise upward to FIND the exact fall point this time today-which was shown to be DOW 14,972 just under 15k, it might drop farther than that (i expect) but it'll quickly stable out at 15k DOW. Now, it's a fact that normal corrections usually fall in the 20 to 35% range....but what everyone fails to see is we're long over due and markets have been synthetically propped up FOR YEARS so this one's going to be a harsh one...like the 1966 to 1981 era...super long duration 2 to 3 years down and then 10 year rise back to Dow 37k...it sucks and hurts a 59% drop in the stock markets...BUT it's NOT going to be as bad as a 80 to 90% correction some financial analysts predict. The good new is... in 16 to 28 months this puppy will bottom and then you'll want to pump-add money in for the next 10 years...as all will be good on the rise up. The smartest move for all millenniums would be to at least pull 50% of their assets to safe preservation funds for the next two years...i think they should do 100%...but even 50% will protect them over these next two years. [/QUOTE]
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