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How Long Will This Market Last?
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<blockquote data-quote="Jake" data-source="post: 1073501" data-attributes="member: 4"><p>1. The market will cycle lower again but it will take the southern herd rebuilding to have a feeder calf supply. I'm not saying we will see $.75 calves again but we will come off of these highs at some point. If any of us could guess when to short this thing we wouldn't be worrying about running the actual cows.</p><p></p><p>2. See #1. But to add I think there is some short term upward availability in the market especially in the bred cow market as they remain in demand.</p><p></p><p>3. Within 5 years we will see to what extent the national herd will be rebuilt and the cycle should take a turn at that point depending on what the herd looks like.</p><p></p><p>4. I never suggest spending money on replacement heifers on a loan as your are a long ways from seeing return on the investment. Cows or heifers doesn't really matter. I personally prefer buying pairs to breds. Usually comparable money and you already have a live calf.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Jake, post: 1073501, member: 4"] 1. The market will cycle lower again but it will take the southern herd rebuilding to have a feeder calf supply. I'm not saying we will see $.75 calves again but we will come off of these highs at some point. If any of us could guess when to short this thing we wouldn't be worrying about running the actual cows. 2. See #1. But to add I think there is some short term upward availability in the market especially in the bred cow market as they remain in demand. 3. Within 5 years we will see to what extent the national herd will be rebuilt and the cycle should take a turn at that point depending on what the herd looks like. 4. I never suggest spending money on replacement heifers on a loan as your are a long ways from seeing return on the investment. Cows or heifers doesn't really matter. I personally prefer buying pairs to breds. Usually comparable money and you already have a live calf. [/QUOTE]
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How Long Will This Market Last?
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