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<blockquote data-quote="Susie David" data-source="post: 118846" data-attributes="member: 1744"><p>This is a question for the economists but here is a down and dirty insight...three types of inventory and price movemment that are of consideration when planning production and marketing programs, secular trends, cyclical behavior and seasonal patterns. Secular trends are long term indicators that persist over more than one cattle cycle. Cyclical movements tend to follow predictable patterns that repeat themselves. Seasonal variations follow a relatively uniform pattern over many years (high prices in spring lower in late fall). Supply and demand (number of head produced and number of head slaughtered) as well as futures and commodity markets come into play.</p><p>That Ag marketing class finally pays off....just kidding, send me your email address and I can send a copy of a text that goes into detail.</p><p>I think that we're holding steady. This growth pattern started in '97 when prices were about half of what they are now....the more seasoned ranchers can tell you horror stories.</p><p>Hope that this helps...I get carried away some times...a little knowledge is dangerous....Dave Mc</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Susie David, post: 118846, member: 1744"] This is a question for the economists but here is a down and dirty insight...three types of inventory and price movemment that are of consideration when planning production and marketing programs, secular trends, cyclical behavior and seasonal patterns. Secular trends are long term indicators that persist over more than one cattle cycle. Cyclical movements tend to follow predictable patterns that repeat themselves. Seasonal variations follow a relatively uniform pattern over many years (high prices in spring lower in late fall). Supply and demand (number of head produced and number of head slaughtered) as well as futures and commodity markets come into play. That Ag marketing class finally pays off....just kidding, send me your email address and I can send a copy of a text that goes into detail. I think that we're holding steady. This growth pattern started in '97 when prices were about half of what they are now....the more seasoned ranchers can tell you horror stories. Hope that this helps...I get carried away some times...a little knowledge is dangerous....Dave Mc [/QUOTE]
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