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<blockquote data-quote="Wild Cattle" data-source="post: 847192" data-attributes="member: 7475"><p>I agree DOC. I believe that we have seen a long term shift in the supply curve. Might be permanent. Cow numbers are going to be down for a good while and may never recover fully. We are in the middle of changing our operation from 80% stockers toward 50 % cows. We have the right type for a base with some Scottish blood bulls coming this fall. Low in put cattle that don't need much help, moderate and correct. Seems to me that quality bred heifers will be worth some money after the drought (if it doesn't bust me first). Feeder cattle should push higher because of demand in the next two years and this will slow any growth in cow numbers because of the value of the heifers going to the feed yards. The future looks bright for some time.</p><p></p><p>I took a part time job at one of the local sale barns to keep my finger directly on the pulse of the local market. My hammer is cocked and ready when this drought breaks. Exciting times ahead in the cow business.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Wild Cattle, post: 847192, member: 7475"] I agree DOC. I believe that we have seen a long term shift in the supply curve. Might be permanent. Cow numbers are going to be down for a good while and may never recover fully. We are in the middle of changing our operation from 80% stockers toward 50 % cows. We have the right type for a base with some Scottish blood bulls coming this fall. Low in put cattle that don't need much help, moderate and correct. Seems to me that quality bred heifers will be worth some money after the drought (if it doesn't bust me first). Feeder cattle should push higher because of demand in the next two years and this will slow any growth in cow numbers because of the value of the heifers going to the feed yards. The future looks bright for some time. I took a part time job at one of the local sale barns to keep my finger directly on the pulse of the local market. My hammer is cocked and ready when this drought breaks. Exciting times ahead in the cow business. [/QUOTE]
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