long123":1bpd5kh5 said:This world is not my home i'm just passing through.
tuongtrante1":3ft3042h said:Like everybody, I know they will go down, and I'm not looking forward to it. Has anybody figured the break even point on a 550 pound weaned calf. It's up there these days. Luckily fuel, and grain are cheap at the moment. My other inputs are not though.
Caustic Burno":1n7n6vt9 said:Mine is going to come in low due to all the rain and not being able to fertilize or lime. That will have a later cost.
I will run the numbers for the first half in a few days. Rough estimate close to a dollar a day .
Caustic Burno said:Mine is going to come in low due to all the rain and not being able to fertilize or lime. That will have a later cost.
I will run the numbers for the first half in a few days. Rough estimate close to a dollar a day .
Still think the decline will be till 2021? Or do you believe it will continue to declineCaustic Burno said:Was largely on retaining and buying replacements.
Average cost to raise a heifer was 1900 the most to pay for a replacement
was 2400 with the five year forecast.
Forecast was the market steady this year then declining till 2021.
DCA farm said:Still think the decline will be till 2021? Or do you believe it will continue to declineCaustic Burno said:Was largely on retaining and buying replacements.
Average cost to raise a heifer was 1900 the most to pay for a replacement
was 2400 with the five year forecast.
Forecast was the market steady this year then declining till 2021.
Hopefully it doesn't get that bad I seen where someone is reopening the barn in dequincy Louisiana again supposed to start having cow sales in spring on 2020 they have already started having horse salesCaustic Burno said:DCA farm said:Still think the decline will be till 2021? Or do you believe it will continue to declineCaustic Burno said:Was largely on retaining and buying replacements.
Average cost to raise a heifer was 1900 the most to pay for a replacement
was 2400 with the five year forecast.
Forecast was the market steady this year then declining till 2021.
It might be longer if the monopoly on the packers is not broken.
Brazil is in the drivers seat right now.
The biggest issue is we are not on Americans radar. Americans don't care where their food comes from as long as it's cheap.
The concerning part to me is if enough of the 50 and under crowd get out so goes the sale barn.
I've gotta go back thru and read it all.Rereading this thread... and seeing where so many of the drop in prices talk, all came true and now with the droughts and the declining numbers, we are going back to the high side again... and right about a 10 year cycle... all outside factors taken into account. Granted no one "saw" the Ukraine situation back then... and NO ONE even dreamed that the fuel and fertilizer prices were going to go insane with the BS that the current political situation has created... and that most of us still here are STILL getting OLDER... that haven't gone out... there will be a bigger exit I think this time... the housing growth spurts and all just are not going to get torn down and so more land is being lost to farming/ranching operations...
What kind of replacement is this - open 15 month old? what would this number be today??Was largely on retaining and buying replacements.
Average cost to raise a heifer was 1900 the most to pay for a replacement
was 2400 with the five year forecast.
Forecast was the market steady this year then declining till 2021.
Not uncommon for a 14-16 month old to be open.What kind of replacement is this - open 15 month old? what would this number be today??
I agree on the 15 month old ready to breed. Just wasnt sure what age these replacement costs were based on. 20 months old and bred is a lot more valuable than an open yearling to me.Not uncommon for a 14-16 month old to be open.
With my current inputs be close to 2K to raise the retained heifer.
That's because they don't have a clue what the daily( yearly) cost of a cow is.I agree on the 15 month old ready to breed. Just wasnt sure what age these replacement costs were based on. 20 months old and bred is a lot more valuable than an open yearling to me.
I am working to offer a moderate sized, maternal animal that is designed to be a replacement but any time you discuss selling replacement heifers, nobody wants to spend the cash because they think they can raise them a lot cheaper. For years, folks have been saying it makes more sense to buy but average ranchers aren't believing it from what I can see.