Menu
Forums
New posts
Search forums
What's new
New posts
New media
New media comments
New profile posts
Latest activity
Media
New media
New comments
Search media
Members
Current visitors
New profile posts
Search profile posts
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles and first posts only
Search titles only
By:
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Forums
Non-Cattle Specific Topics
Coffee Shop
Retirement
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Help Support CattleToday:
Message
<blockquote data-quote="Son of Butch" data-source="post: 1708038" data-attributes="member: 14585"><p>Bear markets are only identified in hindsight because they begin with a whimper rather than a bang.</p><p></p><p>I'm wondering if a bear market might have started with the last high set on September 3rd, the market has been drifting lower ever since.</p><p>I saw a report putting the odds of a 20% drop in Oct 2021 at 500-1</p><p>extreme long shot... but not zero. <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite1" alt=":)" title="Smile :)" loading="lazy" data-shortname=":)" /> lol</p><p>September inflation report vs year ago came in at 5.4% today. The highest in 13 yrs.</p><p>My fear (but not a bold prediction) we are in a bear market that will last 6 months September 2021 - March 2022</p><p></p><p>26 bear markets since the 1 year bear market of Sept 1899-1900</p><p>The last 5 official bear markets</p><p>3 months July - Sept 1998</p><p>18 months March-Sept 2000-01</p><p>9.3 months Jan- Oct 2002</p><p>13.6 months Oct-Nov 2007-2008</p><p>2.1 months Jan-March 2009</p><p></p><p>The longest bear market was the great depression a market drop of 89%</p><p>2 yrs 10 months Sept 1929-July 1932</p><p>followed by</p><p>12 months March-March 1937-38</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Son of Butch, post: 1708038, member: 14585"] Bear markets are only identified in hindsight because they begin with a whimper rather than a bang. I'm wondering if a bear market might have started with the last high set on September 3rd, the market has been drifting lower ever since. I saw a report putting the odds of a 20% drop in Oct 2021 at 500-1 extreme long shot... but not zero. :) lol September inflation report vs year ago came in at 5.4% today. The highest in 13 yrs. My fear (but not a bold prediction) we are in a bear market that will last 6 months September 2021 - March 2022 26 bear markets since the 1 year bear market of Sept 1899-1900 The last 5 official bear markets 3 months July - Sept 1998 18 months March-Sept 2000-01 9.3 months Jan- Oct 2002 13.6 months Oct-Nov 2007-2008 2.1 months Jan-March 2009 The longest bear market was the great depression a market drop of 89% 2 yrs 10 months Sept 1929-July 1932 followed by 12 months March-March 1937-38 [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
Post reply
Forums
Non-Cattle Specific Topics
Coffee Shop
Retirement
Top