Brute 23":34o6itm7 said:
WalnutCrest":34o6itm7 said:
Making 10% in any particular year is a little like falling off a log.
Making 10% year in and year out, regardless of the markets, is a whole other animal. If you think this is easy, I'd say you've been at it for less than 8yrs.
Indexing is not a patent to print money.
Reinvesting dividends is a great idea and accelerates compounding in good times and reduces risk in bad.
You can go back way further than that and get 10% out of the S&P. If you were in the S&P that last 40 years you did around 10%.
So Exxon is less risky than the S&P? :???:
I never said indexing printed money. Statistically the average person will not out out earn the S&P. 99.XX% of the people on this board will not out earn the S&P over their life investing in the stock market. That is a fact.
Warren Buffet himself says if you are a passive investor you should be in index funds.
It appeared to me you were suggesting that earning 10% each and every year was easy. I'm saying it's brutally difficult.
However, if you're saying the long-term average return is around 10%, I'll easily agree.
A person on a fixed income needs more security of return that maximizing long-term returns. They can't afford a 30% hiccup under the belief they'll make it back over the next decade or two ... the person on the fixed income can't be so cavalier.
And, I didn't ever intimate that an investment in Exxon is less risky than the S&P 500. To clear that up, it's not.
Which is why I did say that if an investor wanted to own individual stocks, they should never have more than 10-15% in any stock, and they should own at least a dozen stocks, minimum. I'll expand that thought a bit ... the investments into individual stocks should be spread out over many industries the investor understands at least a little bit.
Further, I will say that "beating the S&P500" is a silly goal. Risk-adjusted returns are critical. As are absolute total returns. As are after-tax-inflation-adjusted returns. Merely beating the S&P500 (or not) in any period of time is not how a thoughtful person should gauge success (or lack thereof).
There is an argument to be made that Buffet is the luckiest coin flipper in the history of the planet. I don't necessarily buy the argument, but it's out there to be made.