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Excellent points! In the West those that run yearlings have found that selling late July or early August cattle gain more weight per day than waiting to sell in Sept. The cattle gain basically nothing after mid-August. Our grass has dried up and doesn't have the nutrients in it to make weight gain. Yearlings do excellent from June to August tho. The early grass in the West really packs a punch. Maybe it would be different on irrigated pasture, but on dryland range conditions selling early works out best.
I know some guys back on the coast who ran 4,000 stockers. They wanted them all gone by August 15. After that there is a lot of those yearlings hitting the market which drives the price down.
Anyone worried about something driving the market down should take a serious look at LRP. The rates you can insure to and the cost are looking pretty good.
 
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