OhioRiver
Well-known member
I just hope to break even on the first go around if I can. Once I get a clue on how to sharpen the pen and plan my work then work my plan I would have added value to the operation. I have to crawl before I walk and I have not gotten out of the womb yet. so to speak.
The problem with the may or june market is the cost of feed to have something saleable at that time. Some parts of the country don;t have the luxury of year round forage. You either have to calf when you have the grass or feed hay. If you have the availble winter forage or the hay to feed over the winter you can hold the calves or calve later in the year. Either way you have to feed growing calves during the most expensive time of the year.[/quote]
dun":2mfa994l said:OhioRiver":2mfa994l said:It will pay off. You only have to go as far as the traditional stock models for cattle prices. Too many people are using the forage feed and sell when it leaves method. The supply is quadruple what it should be in Oct/Nov. The new guys should target selling in May June to offset that. be nice, it is easy to buy at these low prices it seems if the market will take your product 6 months from now. I think you can win that way. The cattle sale model needs to balance out and will only do so if all the guys stop dumping their cattle at the same time. They just don't get it. I don't get them. It is like the stock market in that aspect.......buy low sell high. When two people want the same thing the price is increased by the others need as well..........when you have two cows and one buyer that wants just one. Someone takes their cow back. The problem is the people are not choosing to take their cow back. They are IN NEED of anything and take a dump price and then be nice about it. I think the sustainability question is very good here. Can you afford to play the game? If not, you would be wise expending your time and funds in another environment. If you do not know anything else then that is your fault not the cattle market.....adapt to change or it will change you.
TREY-L":2mfa994l said:Breeding cattle are like land, real estate, even stocks. They are NOT a liquid investment. You don't go out when you want to get out you have to wait for when the market will LET you get out. Otherwise you have to be prepared to sit and hold. That guy PROBABLY could have gotten a $1000 a cow (or the inflation adjusted equivalent to 2007 dollars) IF he had a better marketing plan and took the time to wait on the buyer.
This is why I'm feeding 16 "sellable" calves through the winter. Coming out of a 2 year drought was more than a lot of local farmers could bear, and the sale barn was cram packed with local stock. I decided to gamble and looked at the long range "expected " winter forcast, a la-nina winter, hopefully mild. Maybe my gamble will pay off in the spring, if not, lesson learned and i'll move on.
The problem with the may or june market is the cost of feed to have something saleable at that time. Some parts of the country don;t have the luxury of year round forage. You either have to calf when you have the grass or feed hay. If you have the availble winter forage or the hay to feed over the winter you can hold the calves or calve later in the year. Either way you have to feed growing calves during the most expensive time of the year.[/quote]