i;'ve done the math a bunch lately on the sell side. i don't have the experience to do the math on the buy side, so i can't say about actual profit. but from my calculations, you can sell people freezer beef and at least break even with what you'd sell it for at my local auction. my math actually puts freezer beef about 20-30% ahead of selling at the auction, but that is comparing selling a steer that's been fed out for two months vs the same weight animal at the sale, which isn't apples to apples. hence the "break even" projection. this is selling it for a reasonably competitive rate against grocery store prices for Choice graded meat, including butcher and slaughter costs.
the market for straight from the farm beef, pork, and poultry is in the early stages of a boom in my area. i have 4 or 5 people trying to pay me up front for 2016 beef, and i don't personally own the first cow yet.
i just want to run a farm for the good of my family. actually two families. i'm sensitive to the folks in my immediate area who raise beef cattle for a living, and i don't want to get in their pockets too much. i have a cow/calf guy who has really helped me, and another neighbor that's a pretty big outfit (cow/calf and backgrounds). neither of those folks have any interest in freezer beef. so it's sort of a niche in the market that might really work out well for me, while not directly competing with the guys who are helping me that do it for a living. i think i can make it pay for my families beef, and not take money out of my neighbors pocket. win-win.