kerley":3ej3co93 said:
Kathy and I took my truck in for repair this morning. On the way home we stopped at the local country market. Kathy told me that the market owner and several of the locals were having a conversation about the economy. They were all worried as are we. We are retired seniors that have both worked hard, been honest, saved so that if we lived to be old we would never be a financial burden on our children. We have watched our Government give our hard earned tax dollars to countries that hate out guts, and bailed out financial instutions that have robbed us through greed. With that in mind, do any of you think out Government will bail me out if I mortgage my farm and pi$$ off the money and ask them to save me. Again, just a thought? Tom :???: :???: :???: :???:
Depends on whether you have a "corn, wheat, cotton base" or not.
That's a smartass answer, I don't mean to belittle your question, because we are all concerned.
Having been through the ag depression of the early 80's, with scars to show, I am a wee bit nervous. That ag depression occurred while the rest of the economy boomed.
Today, we could see the ag economy and the general economy tank at the same time. I hope not, and I think not but the fortune cookie ain't promising.
Grain markets are headed lower, at the same pace as oil. That is going to mean a world of hurt for folks who have most of $5/bu of corn invested.
Cattle feeders, (my customers) are staggering already. They may benefit from <<cheap>> $5 corn. But a fat steer still needs to bring a lot more money than he does today. And a credit crunch may be the straw which breaks a lot of them.
Is there going to be a "black Friday" moment here. Or is this just going to dribble out a little at a time.
In the 80's, Jimmy Carter's soybean embargo was the trigger. Don't get me started.
I mostly fear something like Richard Nixon's price controls on beef. That collapsed the cattle business for several years.
I'm a lot happier with my position now than I was then. But I have learned that when the neighbors have financial trouble, it soon spreads.