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Dispersal Figur'in & Beef Price Forecasting ?
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<blockquote data-quote="Stocker Steve" data-source="post: 1404749" data-attributes="member: 1715"><p>I realize the future fat prices are a fiction based on fast money and computerized trading. But, then what do you work from as a commodity producer? Bud said the only real price in the entire mess is todays' cash kill price. Good to know, but I need a little longer term plan unless I become a sell/buy cattle jockey.</p><p>I think commodity producers can learn a lot from the organic guys. They think about systems. They have a crop rotation based on soil fertility and weed management. They don't jump in and out of markets. They don't buy a lot of inputs.</p><p>I think this distills down to having a low input "forage chain" and then reevaluating when to sell cattle at several points each year. I have a yard full of heifers right now. Some will be sold soon to desperate grass grazers, most have a date with Genex. :cboy: I have considering doubling down but I think it is still too early in the cattle price cycle.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Stocker Steve, post: 1404749, member: 1715"] I realize the future fat prices are a fiction based on fast money and computerized trading. But, then what do you work from as a commodity producer? Bud said the only real price in the entire mess is todays' cash kill price. Good to know, but I need a little longer term plan unless I become a sell/buy cattle jockey. I think commodity producers can learn a lot from the organic guys. They think about systems. They have a crop rotation based on soil fertility and weed management. They don't jump in and out of markets. They don't buy a lot of inputs. I think this distills down to having a low input "forage chain" and then reevaluating when to sell cattle at several points each year. I have a yard full of heifers right now. Some will be sold soon to desperate grass grazers, most have a date with Genex. :cboy: I have considering doubling down but I think it is still too early in the cattle price cycle. [/QUOTE]
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