Recent studies have shown that the experts believe that they are correct 100% of the time. However, only 20% of the experts agree with recent studies. So recent studies can only be held to an 80% accuracy. Unless, of course, you take into account that 50% of the original 20% of the experts that disagree with the recent studies, disagree with the other 50% of the 20% (which, of course, would be 10%) . Then,.. we can assume that the aforementioned recent studies may or may not be 90% accurate. This formula, however, will be 100% accurate, 50% of the time. ;-)