dairies going bust

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dairies going bust

Postby bigbull338 » Sat Aug 29, 2009 10:56 am

a month or so back i heard where the bank was gonna close down a big dairy.the dairy they was gonna close has 3000 or 4000 cows plus 4000 heifers.well that dairy filed bankruptcy.the guy couldnt even pay his feed bill.bet he wishes he never built that 80 cow rotery barn.i hear theres 2 or 3 more big dairies in trouble.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby francismilker » Sat Aug 29, 2009 6:26 pm

It's my understanding that one mega dairy out in Colorado went down and took the whole town with it. The bank that loaned the dairy money also had the town's money. It seems someone ought to do more research before putting in a big operation everytime the milk price spikes a little.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby bigbull338 » Sat Aug 29, 2009 9:25 pm

the dairy that went down had been in business here for 15 or 20yrs.as well as the other dairies that are in trouble.they got in so deep that they cant make the payments.i figure he will wipe out all of his unsecured debt an keep on milking.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby maesy » Sun Aug 30, 2009 9:28 pm

that's why everybody needs their own cow!! keep it simple and local and the gov't out of it :)
pasteurization and homogenization and subsidation...I think... are the worst things that've happened to dairy farming
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby novaman » Sun Aug 30, 2009 10:34 pm

maesy wrote:that's why everybody needs their own cow!! keep it simple and local and the gov't out of it :)
pasteurization and homogenization and subsidation...I think... are the worst things that've happened to dairy farming

I can agree that subsidies aren't helping anything but pasteurization is one of the best things to happen IMO. It has made for a safer product, helping assure consumers they will always have a safe, wholesome food. As far as the dairies going bust it would seem that the advantage large dairies have in profits are also becoming their downfall when the prices are less than break even.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby TexasBred » Mon Aug 31, 2009 2:24 pm

francismilker wrote:It's my understanding that one mega dairy out in Colorado went down and took the whole town with it. The bank that loaned the dairy money also had the town's money. It seems someone ought to do more research before putting in a big operation everytime the milk price spikes a little.


francis this is just typical. Milk prices go up and dairies increase herd size....flood the market with milk eventually driving milk prices down.......milk prices go down many increase the herd size and try to operate stictly on "cash flow" which always catches up with you sooner or latter. Not toally different than kiting checks. Some or just very very poor managers...others have worked all their life, done well but have now exhausted all reserves and are at the end of their rope. I don't know too many banks in this economy that would even go along with a Chapter 11 or Chapter 13 bankruptcy....only putting off the inevitable.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby HerefordSire » Mon Aug 31, 2009 4:05 pm

bigbull338 wrote:a month or so back i heard where the bank was gonna close down a big dairy.the dairy they was gonna close has 3000 or 4000 cows plus 4000 heifers.well that dairy filed bankruptcy.the guy couldnt even pay his feed bill.bet he wishes he never built that 80 cow rotery barn.i hear theres 2 or 3 more big dairies in trouble.



I bought milk for less than $2 per gallon the other day.

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Re: dairies going bust

Postby grannysoo » Tue Sep 01, 2009 7:44 am

It's not uncommon to buy 1.79 - 1.99 per gallon milk here. Butter had got down to 1.50 per pound, now it's back up to 2.50 per pound.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby dun » Tue Sep 01, 2009 8:01 am

About 6 months ago the neighbors took on a partner. He bought his own cows and brought them into the herd. Tomorrow his cows all go to the dairy sale. He decided that as much as he likes dairying he can't afford to lose that much money each month. Next month the original dairyman is selling all his cows and shutting down.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby novaman » Tue Sep 01, 2009 9:58 am

dun wrote:About 6 months ago the neighbors took on a partner. He bought his own cows and brought them into the herd. Tomorrow his cows all go to the dairy sale. He decided that as much as he likes dairying he can't afford to lose that much money each month. Next month the original dairyman is selling all his cows and shutting down.

It doesn't surprise me to see dairies continuing to go out but with light at the end of the tunnel it does make me wonder why they would hang on this long only to quit now. With corn being cheap (hopefully it doesn't freeze soon or it won't be cheap for long) the cost of production (at least for me) has been moving down throughout the year. In fact I am approaching break even with the current milk prices. There has to be others that are seeing movement towards a profit for the first time this year.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby dun » Tue Sep 01, 2009 10:38 am

novaman wrote:
dun wrote:About 6 months ago the neighbors took on a partner. He bought his own cows and brought them into the herd. Tomorrow his cows all go to the dairy sale. He decided that as much as he likes dairying he can't afford to lose that much money each month. Next month the original dairyman is selling all his cows and shutting down.

It doesn't surprise me to see dairies continuing to go out but with light at the end of the tunnel it does make me wonder why they would hang on this long only to quit now. With corn being cheap (hopefully it doesn't freeze soon or it won't be cheap for long) the cost of production (at least for me) has been moving down throughout the year. In fact I am approaching break even with the current milk prices. There has to be others that are seeing movement towards a profit for the first time this year.


Movement is all well and good, but when he has to sign his milk check over to the feed company and still right another check out of savings to cover the rest it gets pretty iffy. I'm just afraid that the light at the end of the tunnel is a train heading towards you.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby TexasBred » Tue Sep 01, 2009 2:14 pm

novaman wrote:
dun wrote:About 6 months ago the neighbors took on a partner. He bought his own cows and brought them into the herd. Tomorrow his cows all go to the dairy sale. He decided that as much as he likes dairying he can't afford to lose that much money each month. Next month the original dairyman is selling all his cows and shutting down.

It doesn't surprise me to see dairies continuing to go out but with light at the end of the tunnel it does make me wonder why they would hang on this long only to quit now. With corn being cheap (hopefully it doesn't freeze soon or it won't be cheap for long) the cost of production (at least for me) has been moving down throughout the year. In fact I am approaching break even with the current milk prices. There has to be others that are seeing movement towards a profit for the first time this year.


Nova, I know nothing of how you folks operate up there but in this area there is no light at the end of the tunnel. True, corn prices are down, but protein is sky high. Most by-products used in feed are still strong as well although a bit less expensive than last year. Fuel is also down, but utilities, labor, equipment, barn supplies etc. are all still expensive. With the drought in Texas hay will be very expensive. Corn silage will cost over $80 a ton by the time you get it in the pit or silo or if you have to buy it and truck it very far. For the guy who has gradually drained all his savings over the past year there isn't much to look forward to. To the guy that says he's making money on $9.50 a hundred-weight milk I say BS.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby francismilker » Thu Sep 10, 2009 3:00 am

TexasBred wrote:
novaman wrote:
dun wrote:About 6 months ago the neighbors took on a partner. He bought his own cows and brought them into the herd. Tomorrow his cows all go to the dairy sale. He decided that as much as he likes dairying he can't afford to lose that much money each month. Next month the original dairyman is selling all his cows and shutting down.

It doesn't surprise me to see dairies continuing to go out but with light at the end of the tunnel it does make me wonder why they would hang on this long only to quit now. With corn being cheap (hopefully it doesn't freeze soon or it won't be cheap for long) the cost of production (at least for me) has been moving down throughout the year. In fact I am approaching break even with the current milk prices. There has to be others that are seeing movement towards a profit for the first time this year.


Nova, I know nothing of how you folks operate up there but in this area there is no light at the end of the tunnel. True, corn prices are down, but protein is sky high. Most by-products used in feed are still strong as well although a bit less expensive than last year. Fuel is also down, but utilities, labor, equipment, barn supplies etc. are all still expensive. With the drought in Texas hay will be very expensive. Corn silage will cost over $80 a ton by the time you get it in the pit or silo or if you have to buy it and truck it very far. For the guy who has gradually drained all his savings over the past year there isn't much to look forward to. To the guy that says he's making money on $9.50 a hundred-weight milk I say BS.


I'd say AMEN to that TexasBred. My friend that just went out showed his break even price at 15.50 and said it was costing him a little over $300 per cow per month to milk cows. He grew all of his own feed other than ordering out a semi load of corn to mix in with his TMR.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby novaman » Thu Sep 10, 2009 10:17 am

I agree you can't make money at $9.50 but I'm at $11.40 right now and my break even is nowhere near $15.50. At $300 per cow per month that's $10/day. I think there is room for improvement on that one.
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Re: dairies going bust

Postby TexasBred » Thu Sep 10, 2009 1:36 pm

novaman wrote:I agree you can't make money at $9.50 but I'm at $11.40 right now and my break even is nowhere near $15.50. At $300 per cow per month that's $10/day. I think there is room for improvement on that one.


A TMR down here runs real close to $7.00 per cow per day and most dairies are doing good to be averaging 45-48 lbs. per head per day in this heat. That don't leave much if any especially if they have any debts servicing at all and are using any hired labor.
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